Deliverable 8.1 Exploring the future for green gases

In this report, the various factors determining the greening of gas across the EU by 2030 have been inventoried, and summarised in four scenarios, that differ in the degree to which markets on the one hand and policies and measures on the other hand create incentives to get to green gases. In the two extreme scenarios, either (in the optimistic scenario) the share of green gas would grow towards 13% to 14% even if the ‘greening’ through CO2 certificates would not be included, or (in the pessimistic scenario) the current share of about 4% would hardly grow (some 4.5%), again excluding the greening through CO2 certificates. Obviously, if the ‘greening’ through CO2 certificates is included in the scenarios, the differences mentioned could grow towards much wider proportions.

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